Showing posts with label richard russell. Show all posts
Showing posts with label richard russell. Show all posts

With 2013 now under way, the Godfather of newsletter writers, Richard Russell, told his subscribers that after being in the business for 60 years, he has never seen anything like this (described below).  Russell also discussed the massive silver short position and gold’s eternal value.  Here is what Russell had to say: “Bull market or bear market?  Below we see a listing of the year-end cost of gold denominated in Federal Reserve Notes (these notes are now commonly called “dollars”).  From a market standpoint, we're looking at one of the greatest bull markets in history.  But ironically, referring to “dollars alone,” this is one of the worst bear markets I've ever seen.
 
Richard Russell continues:

“Bear market?  Sure, back in the year 2000, for only 273 dollars you could buy one ounce of gold.  But by 2012, you needed over 1600 dollars to buy the same one ounce of gold.  The eternal value of gold doesn't change.  It's the purchasing power of the Federal reserve note that has changed.


The price of gold in terms of “dollars” has now risen thirteen years in succession.  But what is even more remarkable is the fact that most Americans have totally ignored (even despised) this remarkable bull market.  Let a stock rise seven or eight years in a row, and it will be the talk of Wall Street and the talk of every social gathering in the nation.


Yet this amazing bull market in gold stands alone, sneered at and almost hated.  I've been in this business for over 60 years, and I've never seen anything quite like it.  However, I do think I know something about human nature.  What I've learned about human nature is that it doesn't change.  For instance, if a stock creeps up year after year, sooner or later the crowd will discover it -- and then they'll pounce on it, ultimately sending that undiscovered stock far above its reasonable price.


My belief is that somewhere ahead, the crowd will latch on to gold.  Then, as disinterested in gold as they are now, the crowd will pile into gold with the same frenzy that overtook the storied “49ers” when they packed their bags, kissed their wives and kids good bye, and headed West in search of gold.


Gold is the only item that elicits both greed and fear.  The greed factor is so well known that I don't have to explain it here.  But the fear factor only arises when men (and women) see the “value” of their money disappearing.  Nothing concentrates the mind as dramatically as seeing the purchasing power of one's hard-earned income and savings being ruthlessly destroyed.


As I write, Ben Bernanke's Federal Reserve is systematically shaving off the purchasing power of the dollar in the same way that you can peel the layers off an onion.  The US has been in the process of constructing the greatest credit bubble in history.  The world has never seen anything like it.


This enormous bubble is now being attacked by the worldwide forces of deflation.  Fed Chairman Bernanke is terrified by the mere thought of deflation.  Bernanke will not stand for deflation.  He has said as much.  And he will attack deflation and crumbling asset prices with all the inflationary power at his command.


As the ocean of new dollars pours out of the computers of the Federal Reserve, the purchasing power of the dollar erodes.  It erodes slowly at first, but as the river of dollars turn into an ocean, slowly-rising inflation segues into a monster.  Finally, the crowd recognizes what is happening to their money.


The loaf of bread that cost a dollar last year suddenly costs four dollars.  The cup of coffee that cost a dollar last week goes on special today for two fifty.  The college tuition that cost four thousand dollars now costs sixteen thousand and there's the extra for a dorm. You're suddenly paralyzed.  A light bulb in your head starts to glow.  And just as suddenly, the mad, frantic rush for gold is on.


Old timers shake their heads knowingly and repeat the old saw, “There's no fever like gold fever!”  And the rush for the yellow metal turns into a full frenzy.  Even as I write, the subtle but tell-tale signs of “gold-fever” are seen and heard.  New gold funds and new gold ETFs are started.


Full-page advertisements appear in the newspapers, drawing attention to the loss of purchasing power in the dollar, and lauding the advantages of owning gold and silver.  Gold vending machines appear at airports and in European and Asian department stores.  Pressure is rising to force lawmakers to elect gold as legal tender.


On March 29, 2011, the state of Utah passed a law stating that gold and silver will be legal tender in the state of Utah.  Imagine, just imagine -- gold being treated as real money!  That alone shows us how far and how completely insane the nation's attitude towards gold and silver has become.  Gold has been treated as money for 3,000 years.  “As good as gold” is a well-known expression.  Yet, today in the US, gold is not considered to be legal tender.


No fiat money has lasted for as long as a century.  The US has had prior experience with fiat money -- the Civil War Greenbacks, the “Bills of Credit” of the original American colonies, the ill-fated Continentals during the Civil War.  None of these have survived, and neither will the Federal Reserve notes that we now refer to as “dollars.”


I dislike falling back on the morality argument, but consider this.  I may work a lifetime for five million dollars.  Yet some academic working for the Federal Reserve can press some keys on a computer and create ten billion dollars instantly without working up a sweat.  Is the ten billion dollars he creates moral money?  Did anyone work for the money?  Did anyone take a risk for the money?  Did anyone drop a bead of sweat for it?  No, then I claim it is immoral and actually evil money, and as such it is doomed.


The only power evil has is the power to destroy itself.  I affirm that the Federal Reserve note is doomed.  When the Federal Reserve note goes down the drain, all fiat money in the world will go down with it.  Today information travels around the world with the speed of NOW.  People around the planet will see that fiat money is a fantasy and a counterfeit fraud foisted upon them by unconscionable and unscrupulous bankers.  It is then that the crowd will turn to gold, in much the way that people turned to gold back in 1978 to 1980.


Now this may be “far out.”  I'm reading a lot about silver and its huge short position.  I hear that the silver shorts are bigger than the amount of physical silver that is readily available.  The silver mining stocks have already surged.  And I wonder if silver starts to boom, whether that action wouldn't rub off on gold?  Hmmm, it's a thought.”

source here

Posted by Mr Thx Tuesday, January 8, 2013 0 comments

Question -- Russell, you've been bending our ears about buying gold ever since the year 2000. Out with it, at what point or at what level do I sell my gold or silver?

Answer -- An excellent and important question. The answer (and this may not surprise you) is that you NEVER sell your gold or silver. These precious metals are an integral part of your estate and net wealth. I don't care what the current price of gold is, gold represents unencumbered wealth.

Let me give you an example from the rich man's standpoint. The rich man accumulates and holds ten thousand ounces of gold. At one point (such as today) his gold holdings are worth $12 million dollars. He's still rich.

Then gold declines to a price of $700 an ounce during a crushing world deflation. Bankruptcies rule, and the price of anything and everything with debt against it has collapsed. At this point the rich man is holding $7 million worth of gold. The fellow is still very rich. Next comes a run-away inflation and gold climbs to $2500 an ounce. Here the fellow owns $25 million dollars worth of gold. Now he's almost embarrassingly rich, at least in relation to his neighbors.

You see the point. In holding ten thousand ounces of gold, this fellow is always rich, but let's call it shades of rich depending on the economy. So the rich man isn't trying to 'beat" or "out-trade" the gold market. He holds his gold as an eternal store of wealth though good times and bad.

source HERE

Posted by Mr Thx Friday, January 22, 2010 0 comments

I don’t believe most investors understand the significance of the possibility that the March to October rally was an upward correction in a bear market. The majority of analysts believe that the advance that started from the March lows represented the beginning of a new bull market. I disagree, and I’ve explained in detail why I do not believe March marked the start of a new bull market.

For the sake of argument, let’s just assume that I’m right and that what we’ve seen since March was a bear market rally. If that’s true, we’re in a very dangerous situation. It appears to me that the rally is in the process of topping out. Again, let’s assume that we’ve been in a bear market rally. If the rally is indeed topping out, then the stock market will soon be again in the grip of the bear.

The rally ran from March to October, a period of seven months. In other words, the bear market has been “held back” for a period of over half a year. My thinking is that the bear is “angry” at being held back, and it will probably want to make up for lost time in the period ahead. From everything I see, hear or read, I gather that almost everybody believes the March lows are safe, that they will not be violated, no matter what.

However, if the bear market rally is now in the process of breaking up, my thought is that stocks could decline very rapidly, much faster than most people are prepared for. If late-coming traders suspect that the rally is over, we could see a frenzy to get out of this market. This along with a panic from pros who want to get out with what profits are left.

source HERE

Posted by Mr Thx Sunday, December 6, 2009 0 comments
Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...

Sekapur Sirih Seulas Pinang

My photo
Alor Gajah, Melaka, Malaysia
Sharing is caring. This blog is about sharing information that available in web space. The information is related to Finance, Business & Trading.

Enter your email address:

Delivered by FeedBurner

Malaysia